Decision analysis | business analytics

Problem 1: Payoffs/Decision Table (13 points) A small building contractor has recently experienced two successive years in which work opportunities exceeded the firm’s capacity. The contractor must now make a decision on capacity for next year. Estimated profits (in $ thousands) under each of the two possible states of nature are as shown in the table below. NEXT YEAR’S DEMAND Alternative Low High Do nothing Expand Subcontract $50** 20 40 $60 80 70 ** Profit in $ thousands. Which alternative should be selected if the decision criterion is: a. The optimistic approach? (3 points) b. The conservative approach? (3 points) c. Minimize the regret? (7 points) Problem 2: Payoffs/Decision Table (15 points) Dorothy Stanyard has three major routes to take to work. She can take Tennessee Street the entire way, she can take several back streets to work, or she can use the expressway. The traffic patterns are, however, very complex. Under good conditions, Tennessee Street is the fastest route. When Tennessee is congested, one of the other routes is preferable. Over the past two months, Dorothy has tried each of route several times under different traffic conditions. This information is summarized in minutes of travel time to work in the following table: ADM2302 M, N, P and Q Assignment # 4 Winter 2020 Page 2 No Traffic Congestion (Minutes) Mild Traffic Congestion (Minutes) Severe Traffic Congestion (Minutes) Tennessee Street Back roads Expressway 15 20 30 30 25 30 45 35 30 In the past 60 days, Dorothy encountered severe traffic congestion 10 days and mild traffic congestion 20 days. Assume that the past 60 days are typical of traffic conditions. a. What route should Dorothy take. Use the EP criterion. (10 points) b. Dorothy is about to buy a radio for her car that would tell her the exact traffic conditions before she started to work each morning. How much time in minutes on the average would Dorothy save by buying the radio? (i.e. Calculate the EVPI) (5 points).

Place your order
(550 words)

Approximate price: $22

Calculate the price of your order

550 words
We'll send you the first draft for approval by September 11, 2018 at 10:52 AM
Total price:
$26
The price is based on these factors:
Academic level
Number of pages
Urgency
Basic features
  • Free title page and bibliography
  • Unlimited revisions
  • Plagiarism-free guarantee
  • Money-back guarantee
  • 24/7 support
On-demand options
  • Writer’s samples
  • Part-by-part delivery
  • Overnight delivery
  • Copies of used sources
  • Expert Proofreading
Paper format
  • 275 words per page
  • 12 pt Arial/Times New Roman
  • Double line spacing
  • Any citation style (APA, MLA, Chicago/Turabian, Harvard)

Our guarantees

Delivering a high-quality product at a reasonable price is not enough anymore.
That’s why we have developed 5 beneficial guarantees that will make your experience with our service enjoyable, easy, and safe.

Money-back guarantee

You have to be 100% sure of the quality of your product to give a money-back guarantee. This describes us perfectly. Make sure that this guarantee is totally transparent.

Read more

Zero-plagiarism guarantee

Each paper is composed from scratch, according to your instructions. It is then checked by our plagiarism-detection software. There is no gap where plagiarism could squeeze in.

Read more

Free-revision policy

Thanks to our free revisions, there is no way for you to be unsatisfied. We will work on your paper until you are completely happy with the result.

Read more

Privacy policy

Your email is safe, as we store it according to international data protection rules. Your bank details are secure, as we use only reliable payment systems.

Read more

Fair-cooperation guarantee

By sending us your money, you buy the service we provide. Check out our terms and conditions if you prefer business talks to be laid out in official language.

Read more